GrailWatchIndependent watch reliability, quality & value
Watch deals, read carefully.
GrailWatch scores every listing against a fair-value band of comparable verified sales, weighted for landed cost — not ad price. Trust signals are graded; risk is never an accusation. The catalog is 30 hand-curated references, independent and self-funded, built for the buyer.
8 listings assessed · scored on landed cost & trust
Illustrative seed data — not live-aggregated yet. FX rates and the duty/tax model are prototype-fixed; every landed cost is an estimate. (8/8 served from cache)
Rolex
Submariner Date
Ref. 126610LN · Open Marketplace · ships from US
WITHHELD · RISK
Landed cost (to US)
$7,982
asking 7,400 USD · +ship/duty/tax $582
Value vs market
GREAT DEAL
about 49% below the typical price
HIGH CONFIDENCE
typical range $14,881–$16,200 · 30 comps
Trust · HIGH-RISK
Platformfailing
Listingfailing
Sellerfailing
inspection photos 17%
⚠ Safety check — withheld from the deal feed · risk level: high
The seller asks to complete payment outside the platform.
The price is well below the typical market price for a seller with little track record.
The listing photos appear elsewhere online and the account is very new.
Omega
Speedmaster Professional
Ref. 310.30.42.50.01.002 · eBay · ships from US
GRAIL
Landed cost (to US)
$5,294
asking 4,900 USD · +ship/duty/tax $394
Value vs market
GREAT DEAL
about 18% below the typical price
HIGH CONFIDENCE
typical range $6,239–$6,768 · 24 comps
Trust · SAFE
Platformstrong
Listingstrong
Selleradequate
inspection photos 83%
⚓ Auction — 11 bids · outlook: fairForecast sale price $6,470 (typically $6,239–$6,768). Reserve: reserve not met.
↓ May be worse than described — Across 14 past sales, this seller's watches have tended to grade slightly below the stated condition — inspect closely; it may present closer to “very-good”.
Tudor
Black Bay 58 — Navy
Ref. 79030N · eBay · ships from US
GRAIL
Landed cost (to US)
$2,983
asking 2,750 USD · +ship/duty/tax $233
Value vs market
GREAT DEAL
about 14% below the typical price
HIGH CONFIDENCE
typical range $3,225–$3,689 · 22 comps
Trust · SAFE
Platformstrong
Listingstrong
Sellerstrong
inspection photos 100%
↑ Likely better than described — Across 40 past sales, this seller's watches have often graded higher in hand than the listing stated — this one may present closer to “unworn”. At its likely grade it reads as a GREAT DEAL.
Listed 11 days ago · price dropping · recent price drop
Grand Seiko
Snowflake SBGA211
Ref. SBGA211 · eBay · ships from US
GRAIL
Landed cost (to US)
$4,004
asking 3,700 USD · +ship/duty/tax $304
Value vs market
GREAT DEAL
about 12% below the typical price
HIGH CONFIDENCE
typical range $4,340–$4,905 · 20 comps
Trust · SAFE
Platformstrong
Listingstrong
Sellerstrong
inspection photos 100%
↑ Likely better than described — Across 40 past sales, this seller's watches have often graded higher in hand than the listing stated — this one may present closer to “unworn”. At its likely grade it reads as a GREAT DEAL.
Omega
Speedmaster Professional
Ref. 310.30.42.50.01.002 · Chrono24 · ships from US
GRAIL
Landed cost (to US)
$6,251
asking 5,650 USD · +ship/duty/tax $601
Value vs market
GOOD DEAL
about 9% below the typical price
HIGH CONFIDENCE
typical range $6,613–$7,175 · 24 comps
Trust · SAFE
Platformstrong
Listingstrong
Sellerstrong
inspection photos 83%
💬 Seller accepts offersSeller accepts offers. Without more context on the listing, accepted offers typically run about 7% below ask — a reasonable offer would put this near 5,254.5 USD.
Tudor
Black Bay 58 — Navy
Ref. 79030N · eBay · ships from US
GRAIL
Landed cost (to US)
$2,843
asking 2,620 USD · +ship/duty/tax $223
Value vs market
GOOD DEAL
about 4% below the typical price
HIGH CONFIDENCE
typical range $2,741–$3,136 · 22 comps
Trust · SAFE
Platformstrong
Listingstrong
Sellerstrong
inspection photos 100%
↑ Likely better than described — Across 40 past sales, this seller's watches have often graded higher in hand than the listing stated — this one may present closer to “very-good”. At its likely grade it reads as a GREAT DEAL.
Tudor
Black Bay 58 — Navy
Ref. 79030N · WatchUSeek Forum · ships from US
HIDDEN · LOW TRUST
Landed cost (to US)
$3,091
asking 2,850 USD · +ship/duty/tax $241
Value vs market
FAIR PRICE
about 3% above the typical price
HIGH CONFIDENCE
typical range $2,789–$3,191 · 22 comps
Trust · HIGH-RISK
Platformfailing
Listingstrong
Selleradequate
inspection photos 50%
↓ May be worse than described — Across 14 past sales, this seller's watches have tended to grade slightly below the stated condition — inspect closely; it may present closer to “good”.